Bryan’s 2013 Oscar Predictions

TheOscars

Even after seeing and analyzing all the nominated films, I still have little faith in my predictions. A few of these categories are no brainers, but many remain toss-ups. There have been rule changes and date changes galore, so expect some new precedents to be set Sunday night. This is merely for fun, so feel free to post your own picks in the comments and you can tease me Monday morning. Also, if you are looking for the best awards and festival coverage around, I highly recommend checking out Kris Tapley and Guy Lodge over at In Contention, which is now part of HitFix. Here are my picks:

BEST PICTURE

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Another movie about how awesome Hollywood is (See The Artist) has all the momentum. Argo winning or losing would break all kinds of records, but I think it’s sewn up at this point.

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Should Win: Michael Haneke, Amour

With no Affleck this category could go to anyone. I’m going with Lee for three reasons. Everyone likes the guy, I can’t see Lincoln getting Director but not Picture, and he’s the star of his movie.

BEST ACTOR

Will and Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Great is great. It’s as simple as that.

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Should Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

I’m probably wrong here. Lawrence is the IT girl right now, but her performance is not nearly as dramatically powerful as Riva’s. Marion Cotillard won for La Vie En Rose, so why not Riva?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Should Win: Amy Adams, The Master

People who hate the movie still love Hathaway in it. She has the ultimate Oscar clip.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

This category is ridiculous. Anyone could win. I’m going with Waltz simply because his is the most affable and sizable role. My should is a reflection on Waltz and Hoffman being in the wrong category.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph

Should Win: ParaNorman

Still an open race, but I think Ralph is the biggest crowd-pleaser so I’m going with that.

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Will and Should Win: Amour

Also nominated for Picture and more, I think they like this one.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win: Django Unchained

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty 

Another tough race, so I’m just going to stick with the crowd-pleasers.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Lincoln

Argo goodwill looks to sweep this category up ahead of the others.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will and Should Win: Anna Karenina

Mirror Mirror is close, but this has been a done deal since the trailer premiered.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Will and Should Win: Skyfall

It’s the only good song nominated and it’s from one of the year’s biggest blockbusters.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Lincoln

Pi is the most diverse of the group and carries huge portions of the film. A lot of better scores not even nominated.

BEST DOCUMENTARY

Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man

Should Win: How to Survive a Plague

Like Argo, another crowd-pleaser is going to steamroll over better and more important films.

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Will Win: Les Miserables

Should Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Flip a coin. I think this crowd liked Les Mis more and it fits with recent wins that correlated with an acting win (The Iron Lady, La Vie En Rose). The best wasn’t nominated.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will and Should Win: Anna Karenina

The movie is a showcase of design. The film’s conceit is all about sets moving, changing, and being on display.

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

It’s another notch for the Argo express.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win: Skyfall

Should Win: Life of Pi

Either could win and I wouldn’t really mind. I picked Skyfall because Deakins was the star of the movie.

BEST SOUND EDITING

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

This one is a very tough call. I’m going with MOST sound editing. Pi had tons of animals to bring to life and an entire ocean of sound.

BEST SOUND MIXING

Will Win: Les Miserables

Should Win: Life of Pi

The sound categories haven’t split in awhile but Les Mis built its marketing campaign around the sound mixing and I think people bought in.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will and Should Win: Life of Pi

It’s one of the easiest picks of the night. It’s the only Best Picture Nominee in the group and it deserves it.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Will Win: Paperman

Should Win: Adam and Dog

The rules for voting changed this year, so I think the nominee with the highest profile will take it.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Will Win: Curfew

Should Win: Death of a Shadow

With the best being too strange (like Tuba Atlantic last year), I’m going with the only film in the English language.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Will and Should Win: Open Heart

In a race between a homeless kid, old people, breast cancer, more homeless people, and kids who need heart surgery, I’m not picking against the 6-year-old with her chest split open.

Don’t forget to post your picks. If you’re looking for a good printable ballot, I like using Moviefone’s.

About these ads

One response to “Bryan’s 2013 Oscar Predictions

  1. I think Lincoln will win Best Picture. But Argo should win.

    I think Chastain will win. ZDT has to win something

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s